HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL PROJECTED GAME SCORES   projection accuracy

-National projections are released Monday evenings each week.  (CA projections released Sunday evening.)
-Starting in 2012, we will not project games until October 1st. [We are not too proud to admit that it just doesn't work nearly as well without much data (scores) to go on for the early-season games.]
-August and December results are on a single screen; not broken down by weeks.  Scroll down to see all the info.
-"Projection" ratings are used on this screen, as opposed to the standard ratings seen on this site.  They are very much like the other ratings seen on this site, except that recent results are weighted more heavily and the "politically correct" moderately-low cutoff point at which margin of victory is no longer counted is eliminated.  Also, historical ratings of the teams (including head-to-head history) are a very small factor in projections.  In other words, predicting future outcomes and acknowledging to-date success are not the same thing.  Given that two different systems are used, yes, the results will be different in some cases.  You do not need to try to contact us every time you see Team A rated above Team B, but Team B predicted to beat Team A in a hypothetical or real game.  It happens.
-Project your own hypothetical matchups by clicking here.


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