| CALIFORNIA TEAMS WITH THE BEST STATISTICAL CHANCE TO GO UNDEFEATED AND UNTIED IN THE REGULAR SEASON Explanation: Based on their "projection" power ratings (and home field advantage), each team is given a certain percent chance to win each of their known remaining games. These numbers are based on historical data; a team rated 7 points higher than another has won 82% of the time in the past, etc. The individual game percentages are then multiplied together to find the chance of "running the table". Eg: A team with two games remaining, each deemed 50% chances of winning has a 25% chance of winning both (.5 x .5 = .25) Chances of winning for each difference in power ratings: 1 (54%), 2 (58%), 3 (62%), 4 (68%), 5 (74%), 6 (80%), 7 (82%), 8 (84%), 9 (85%), 10 (86%), 11 (87%), 12 (88%), 13 (89%), 14 (90%), 15 (91%), 16 (92%), 17 (93%), 18 (94%), 19 (95%), 20 (96%), 21 (97%), 22 (98%), 23 and up (99%) Note: "Projection" ratings are the ones we use to project game scores. They are very much like the other ratings seen on this site, except that recent results are weighted more heavily and the "politically correct" moderately-low cutoff point at which margin of victory is no longer counted is eliminated. 6/8/9-man teams must have played two games this season before being included in this chart. Historical ratings of the teams (including head-to-head history) are a very small factor in projections. | ||||||||||||||
| RANK | SCHOOL | SECTION | LEAGUE | CHANCE | RECORD | PROJECTED RECORD | RATING | HIGHEST RATED REMAINING OPPONENT | REMAINING GAMES (Chance Of Winning) | |||||
| 1 | Kennedy [John F.] (Fremont, CA) | North Coast | Mission Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 13.2 | none | none | |||||
| 2 | Liberty (Madera, CA) | Central | North Sequoia | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 35 | none | none | |||||
| 3 | West (Torrance, CA) | Southern | Pioneer | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 33.7 | none | none | |||||
| 4 | Avalon (CA) | Southern | Express (8 Man) | 100% | 8-0 | 8-0 | 52.5 | none | none | |||||
| 5 | Thacher (Ojai, CA) | Southern | Condor (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 54.3 | none | none | |||||
| 6 | Williams (CA) | Northern | Mid-Valley | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 5.4 | none | none | |||||
| 7 | Saddleback Valley Christian (San Juan Capistrano, CA) | Southern | San Joaquin | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 4.6 | none | none | |||||
| 8 | Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth, CA) | Southern | Gold Coast - Ocean | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 28.9 | none | none | |||||
| 9 | Maranatha (Pasadena, CA) | Southern | Olympic | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 12.9 | none | none | |||||
| 10 | Lompoc (CA) | Southern | Los Padres | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 38.3 | none | none | |||||
| 11 | Sacred Heart Prep (Atherton, CA) | Central Coast | Peninsula - Bay | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 39.7 | none | none | |||||
| 12 | Redding Christian (Palo Cedro, CA) | Northern | California - North (8 Man) | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 30 | none | none | |||||
| 13 | El Capitan (Lakeside, CA) | San Diego | Grossmont - Hills | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 57.2 | none | none | |||||
| 14 | El Dorado (Placerville, CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Sierra Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 12.6 | none | none | |||||
| 15 | St. Margaret's (San Juan Capistrano, CA) | Southern | Academy | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 20.4 | none | none | |||||
| 16 | El Segundo (CA) | Southern | Ocean | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 35 | none | none | |||||
| 17 | Fall River (McArthur, CA) | Northern | Shasta Cascade | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | -5 | none | none | |||||
| 18 | Clayton Valley (Concord, CA) | North Coast | Diablo Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 50.2 | none | none | |||||
| 19 | Lemoore (CA) | Central | West Yosemite | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 39.6 | none | none | |||||
| 20 | Piedmont (CA) | North Coast | West Alameda County - Shoreline | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 12.9 | none | none | |||||
| 21 | Sweetwater (National City, CA) | San Diego | Metro - South Bay | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 20 | none | none | |||||
| 22 | Crescenta Valley (La Crescenta, CA) | Southern | Pacific | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 35.9 | none | none | |||||
| 23 | Bishop's (La Jolla, CA) | San Diego | Coastal | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 37.1 | none | none | |||||
| 24 | Branham (San Jose, CA) | Central Coast | West Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 5 | none | none | |||||
| 25 | Analy (Sebastopol, CA) | North Coast | Sonoma County | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 29.6 | none | none | |||||
| 26 | De La Salle (Concord, CA) | North Coast | Freelance | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 79.8 | none | none | |||||
| 27 | Grant (Sacramento, CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Delta | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 58.6 | none | none | |||||
| 28 | Folsom (CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Sierra Foothill | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 80.5 | none | none | |||||
| 29 | Christian (El Cajon, CA) | San Diego | Central | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 35.7 | none | none | |||||
| 30 | Kings Christian (Lemoore, CA) | Central | Central Sierra (8 Man) | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 48.9 | none | none | |||||
| 31 | Campolindo (Moraga, CA) | North Coast | Diablo Foothill | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 51.9 | none | none | |||||
| 32 | Poly (Pasadena, CA) | Southern | Prep | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 10.5 | none | none | |||||
| 33 | Grace Brethren (Simi Valley, CA) | Southern | Frontier | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 17.7 | none | none | |||||
| 34 | Heritage (Romoland, CA) | Southern | Sunbelt | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 38.3 | none | none | |||||
| 35 | Milpitas (CA) | Central Coast | De Anza | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 40.6 | none | none | |||||
| 36 | Kern Valley (Lake Isabella, CA) | Central | High Desert | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 3.3 | none | none | |||||
| 37 | Poly (Riverside, CA) | Southern | Inland Valley | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 39.4 | none | none | |||||
| 38 | Capital Christian (Sacramento, CA) | Sac-Joaquin | Golden Empire | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 21.2 | none | none | |||||
| 39 | Sutter (CA) | Northern | Butte View | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 42.8 | none | none | |||||
| 40 | St. Francis (La Canada, CA) | Southern | Angelus | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 44.3 | none | none | |||||
| 41 | Oceanside (CA) | San Diego | Avocado - West | 100% | 10-0 | 10-0 | 61.8 | none | none | |||||
| 42 | Anderson Valley (Boonville, CA) | North Coast | North Central III (8 Man) | 100% | 9-0 | 9-0 | 23.2 | none | none | |||||